Russland & Verbündete gegen Europa & USA

[Quintus Fabius]

Mal eine Darstellung der vorliegenden Optionen wie weiter verfahren werden könnte aus russischer Sicht:

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/ukra...scenarios/

The first scenario is obviously fraught with significant risks for Russia. For the West, it is also undesirable, but it also has some advantages in the form of an accelerated consolidation of NATO and the exhaustion of one of the major global adversaries. The second scenario is quite acceptable for the West. For Russia, it has fewer risks, but the benefits are limited. Its main danger is the gradual build-up of Western pressure. There is such a danger in the third scenario. The West also feels quite comfortable in it, but Russia’s success is not predetermined and will depend on strategic patience, the ability to manage limited resources and use the opponent’s energy in their own interests. The main task for the West will be to “calm down” Russia and bring the competition into a sluggish mode that is convenient for itself. The main task for Russia is to avoid excessive overexertion and, at the same time, not get bogged down in a costly confrontation, maintaining and using levers of pressure on the West where its own interests require it.