Iranisches Atomprogramm

[Schneemann]

Es wäre möglich, dass die Verhandlungen sehr bald, genau genommen morgen, an einem toten Punkt angelangt sind (wieder einmal?). Und offenkundig hat die iranische Delegation einige Zusagen, die im April gemacht wurden, angeblich wieder zurückgezogen - vermutlich weil innenpolitische Spannungen doch zu groß waren...

Iran Negotiators Willing to Breach Deadline on Nuclear Talks

Officials from Tehran, West say they would go past June 30 to clear barriers to final agreement

LUXEMBOURG—Iranian and Western officials for the first time publicly said they were willing to go past a June 30 deadline for sealing a final nuclear deal, insisting they could still unblock remaining obstacles in coming days.

The comments, made after talks between Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif and his counterparts from the U.K., France and Germany on the sidelines of a European Union meeting in Luxembourg on Monday, underscore recent warnings that the nuclear talks have stalled as the deadline approaches. [...]

Senior Iranian and Western officials have clashed publicly over key details of a final deal in recent days and real differences have emerged in the negotiating room, people involved in the discussions said. [...] The State Department stressed on Monday it remained committed to the June 30 deadline. [...]

People involved in the talks say that under domestic political pressure, the Iranian negotiation team has walked back from its April 2 commitment to allow access to the most sensitive sites.

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Zu den Erwartungen in Iran:

Iranians guardedly optimistic as deadline of Vienna nuclear talks nears

Some in Tehran believe lifting of sanctions would have profound implications, but Iran will not pay any price for a deal. [...] Halfway through Ramadan, with temperatures in the high 30s, the capital’s air heavily polluted and traffic permanently gridlocked, Tehranis have plenty on their minds, but people from all walks of life understand that the stakes are high in the Vienna nuclear negotiations, due to reach their deadline on Tuesday after April’s interim deal in Lausanne. [...]

Expectations reflect the sharp political divisions of the Islamic Republic and some clearly fear saying the wrong thing and incurring official displeasure. [...] Still, only a few of Monday’s daily newspapers carry the nuclear talks as their main story. Ebtekar, a privately owned paper, goes for a dramatic “One step to agreement” headline. Iran, a government paper, publishes a drier report on Zarif’s return home to consult the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the last word on national security issues – and much more besides. [...]

Overall, the mood in Tehran suggests that a nuclear deal is taking shape in Vienna, primarily because both sides want it and need it. Iran, though, will not pay any price and can certainly wait a little longer for the big moment. “I do believe that a historic agreement will be reached,” predicts Sadegh Zibakalam, a Tehran University political scientist. “It may not happen tomorrow, but it will definitely happen within the next couple of days. Of course there will be some issues outstanding, but both partners will want to show that they have reached a total agreement.”

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Schneemann.