Dollar als weltweite Leitwährung?

[revan]

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Central Bank Allows Dollar Reserves to Swell


MOSCOW — The dollar’s ascent against the euro may be stifling Russian efforts to challenge the greenback’s dominance as a reserve currency, with policy makers in Moscow allowing the dollar’s share of foreign reserves to swell.

The Central Bank “changed the currency structure of reserves,” raising the U.S. currency’s share by 3 percentage points to 44.5 percent, BNP Paribas said May 18, citing Central Bank numbers on the final months of last year. The euro’s portion fell 3.7 points to 43.8 percent. The figures, part of the Central Bank’s annual report to parliament, aren’t official yet, said a Central Bank spokesman who declined to be identified, citing bank policy.

It’s “very much a case of economic rationalism trumping bellicose politics,” said Neil Shearing, an emerging markets economist at Capital Economics. “With the euro likely to fall further over the coming quarters and a general retreat to safe havens likely to boost the dollar, expect more of the same.”

The euro has dropped 18 percent against the dollar since Nov. 25 on investor concern that policymakers may fail to contain Europe’s debt crisis. Central Banks have probably lost $300 billion this year on the euro and may consider cutting holdings of the currency, Stephen Jen, a managing director at hedge fund BlueGold Capital Management, said May 6.

The dollar’s share in Russian reserves will probably account for “50 percent, maybe more” of the total by the end of this year, said Yulia Tseplyayeva, head of research at BNP Paribas.

“We must be prepared for changes to the allocation of various currencies on the market because the global situation isn’t very stable,” Economic Development Minister Elvira Nabiullina said Thursday. The Central Bank has a “sensible currency diversification,” she said. “I don’t think substantial changes need to be made here.”........

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US-Dollar wird wieder Leitwährung

Der US-Dollar wird in den kommenden zehn Jahren die starke Leitwährung sein, prognostiziert UBS. Die USA werde Europa und Japan in punkto Wirtschaft deutlich abhängen, begründet UBS-Währungsanalyst Mansoor Mohi-uddin seine Einschätzung......

Ich würde lügen wenn ich sagen würde es würde mir kein Vergnügen bereiten auf Erichs feuchten Linken träumen rum zu trampeln.


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......Die europäische Leitwährung fiel unterdessen gegenüber dem Yen auf etwa 110 Yen und erreichte den tiefsten Stand seit Dezember 2001. Die Rettung einer regionalen Sparkasse am Wochenende durch die spanische Regierung verschlimmerte die Sorgen noch zusätzlich.......