Iran

[Shahab3]

Mousavi könnte sicher mehr als jeder andere Kandidat der Reformkräfte auch bei der einfachen Bevölkerung punkten und gilt damit als Ahmadinejads größter Konkurrent. Nach den jüngst veröffentlichten Wahlumfragen führt Ahmadinejad aber recht deutlich vor Mousavi: <!-- m --><a class="postlink" href="http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-05/12/content_11362701.htm">http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009- ... 362701.htm</a><!-- m -->

Interessant ist, dass Ex-Präsident Khatami auf seine Kandidatur zugunsten von Mousavi verzichtet hatte (1997 war es umgekehrt) und das auch Karoubi bereits angedeutet hat, seine Kandidatur ebenfalls zurück zu ziehen, wenn damit eine weitere Amtszeit Ahmadinejads verhindert werden kann:

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Iran's Karroubi may still endorse Mousavi
Thu, 21 May 2009 13:23:26 GMT
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"Running with a single Reformist candidate [at this stage] would… lead to our defeat, as Ahmadinejad would gain 50 percent of the vote and win the elections in the very first round," Karroubi said Thursday during a campaign visit to the northwestern city of Ardabil.

He went on to say, however, that the time may come for the camp to unify and throw its weight behind a single candidate for the sake of winning the elections.

For now, Karroubi said, the objective is to win further support for the Reformist camp, but "before the end of the election campaign, anything is possible."
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Um die weibliche Wählerschaft buhlt derweil Mousavis Frau:

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Iranian women deserve more freedom: Mousavi's wife
Thu, 21 May 2009 08:01:16 GMT

Presidential candidate Mir-Hossein Mousavi's wife, who has been campaigning along his side, calls for a greater social freedom for Iranian women.

"When participating in social activities, our women must feel both secure and liberated. In other words, they must be allowed to freely choose their career, work environment, and clothing [in compliance with Islamic dress code]," Zahra Rahnavard told a gathering of young women who support Mousavi Wednesday.

"The democracy we seek is a religious democracy, which would allow young women of our time to thrive and flourish by providing them with security, freedom, and employment," added the former chancellor of Tehran's Al-Zahra University.
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Mousavi hat aber in meinen Augen nur dann eine Chance, wenn es zu einer Stichwahl zwischen ihm und Ahmadinejad kommt. Am 3.6. treffen die beiden Favoriten in einer Fernsehdebatte aufeinander:

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Ahmadinejad, Mousavi to hold TV debate
Wed, 20 May 2009 23:06:20 GMT

President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and presidential hopeful Mir-Hossein Mousavi will hold a TV debate to clarify their plans.

The 90-minute debates will be held from 3 June 2009, as part a program put forward by the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB) for pair debates between the four qualified presidential hopefuls, ISNA reported.
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Tuesday 2 June 2009, 18:00-19:30 GMT:
Mahdi Karroubi and Mohsen Rezaei

Wednesday 3 June 2009, 18:00-19:30 GMT:
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Mir-Hossein Mousavi

Thursday 4 June 2009, 18:00-19:30 GMT:
Mohsen Rezaei and Mir-Hossein Mousavi

Saturday 6 June 2009, 18:00-19:30 GMT:
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Mahdi Karroubi

Sunday 7 June 2009, 18:00-19:30 GMT:
Mir-Hossein Mousavi and Mahdi Karroubi

Monday 8 June 2009, 18:00-19:30 GMT:
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Mohsen Rezaei

Ein genauerer Blick auf die Termine verrät, dass den beiden Reformern weniger Vorbereitungszeit eingeräumt wird, als den beiden Kandidaten des konservativen Lagers. Diese haben nämlich immer einen Tag lang "Pause" zwischen den Debatten.